Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +13 (87-74). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickea Jackson * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Dearica Hamby * | 33 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Cameron Brink * | 24 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Kia Nurse * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 30 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Lexie Brown | 20 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Li Yueru | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 35 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 33 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 28 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nia Coffey * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 21 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter