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Atlanta Dream 85
@
Phoenix Mercury 88
2024-05-18

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% - ✓
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 ✓ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% - ✗

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +3 (88-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Howard 39 7-15 5-9 2-4 9 2 1 0 2 21 16 -
A. Gray 33 8-12 3-4 3-6 6 2 2 2 1 22 21 -
T. Charles 27 2-7 0-1 2-2 3 4 2 0 2 6 6 -
C. Parker-Tyus 23 5-13 1-4 7-8 6 0 3 2 3 18 13 -
H. Jones 20 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 2 2 -
C. Dangerfield 20 2-6 1-2 5-5 1 4 0 1 2 10 8 -
N. Hillmon 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
N. Coffey 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Powers 8 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
L. Amihere 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Copper 33 11-20 3-5 13-16 6 1 0 0 2 38 23 -
N. Cloud 31 2-6 0-0 3-4 2 5 2 1 1 7 10 -
D. Taurasi 30 4-15 1-8 6-6 7 2 0 0 0 15 9 -
S. Cunningham 25 3-5 2-3 2-2 6 2 5 0 2 10 16 -
N. Mack 22 3-4 0-0 1-1 11 2 1 2 2 7 17 -
R. Allen 21 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 2 1 -
S. Sutton 16 1-4 0-2 3-3 1 3 0 0 4 5 1 -
L. Dixon 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Herbert Harrigan 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 -
M. Bertsch 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter