Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +5.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +13 (68-55). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 38 | 1-16 | 0-8 | 5-8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 32 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 25 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Nia Coffey * | 25 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 24 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Carleton * | 30 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Napheesa Collier * | 30 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 26 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Alanna Smith * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dorka Juhász | 22 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Olivia Époupa | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter