Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.9% | 24.1% | -12.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -4 (74-78). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 32 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Nia Coffey * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Aerial Powers * | 14 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 15 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington * | 32 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 31 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Tyasha Harris * | 28 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter