Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | -1.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 33 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| T. Charles | 29 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Canada | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| H. Jones | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| N. Coffey | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Powers | 14 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Amihere | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 15 | - |
| D. Carrington | 33 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Bonner | 32 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| T. Harris | 29 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Jones | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | - |
| V. Burton | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Banham | 8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter