Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -13 (79-92). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanna Smith * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 31 | 10-12 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Napheesa Collier * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Dorka Juhász | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 34 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 19 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 17 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter