Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +17.9 | ✗ (36.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -19 (50-69). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 18 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington * | 32 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Tyasha Harris * | 32 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 30 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Queen Egbo | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 30 | 5-18 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 19 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 17 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter