Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +5.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +7 (86-79). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Maya Caldwell * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Rhyne Howard | 23 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Destanni Henderson | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 15 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride * | 34 | 9-17 | 4-8 | 8-9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Alanna Smith * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Dorka Juhász * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 29 | 3-12 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 26 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 22 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sika Koné | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter