Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 27 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 16 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Howard | 23 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Charles | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. Henderson | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Powers | 16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| H. Jones | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Coffey | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. McBride | 34 | 9-17 | 4-8 | 8-9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 16 | - |
| A. Smith | 33 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 21 | - |
| D. Juhasz | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Carleton | 29 | 3-12 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Williams | 26 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 22 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| D. Miller | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Zandalasini | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Kone | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter