Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 38 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Howard | 38 | 11-24 | 6-15 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 13 | - |
| J. Canada | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. Gray | 29 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Coffey | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| H. Jones | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Cubaj | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Amihere | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cunningham | 33 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Taylor | 33 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Copper | 32 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 9-12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 15 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| M. Billings | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Mack | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Herbert Harrigan | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter