Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.7% | 48.3% | -0.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +7 (91-84). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 28 | 7-15 | 6-10 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Nia Coffey * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark * | 34 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 34 | 12-21 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 31 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Kristy Wallace * | 23 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 17 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Katie Lou Samuelson | 28 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter