Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.6% | 26.4% | -5.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -11 (81-92). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 32 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 30 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 28 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby * | 37 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Lexie Brown * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kia Nurse * | 32 | 8-16 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 27 | - |
| Cameron Brink * | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Rickea Jackson | 18 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zia Cooke | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Li Yueru | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter