Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -1.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +4 (85-81). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 39 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 37 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 37 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 35 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 31 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Haley Jones | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jewell Loyd * | 36 | 8-22 | 5-8 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 34 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Gabby Williams * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 31 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Ezi Magbegor * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Mercedes Russell | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Victoria Vivians | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Joyner Holmes | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter