Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +6.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -12 (79-91). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark * | 34 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 9 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 32 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 31 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Kristy Wallace * | 15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Katie Lou Samuelson | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Grace Berger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Victaria Saxton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 34 | 4-17 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 32 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Nia Coffey * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus * | 9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 19 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter