Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -12 (79-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Clark | 35 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 9 | - |
| N. Smith | 33 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 32 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| A. Boston | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| K. Wallace | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Hull | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Berger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Saxton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 34 | 4-17 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 6 | - |
| T. Charles | 32 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| H. Jones | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| N. Coffey | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Powers | 20 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| C. Dangerfield | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Cubaj | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Amihere | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter