Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 38 | 10-23 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 14 | - |
| C. Clark | 37 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| A. Boston | 32 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| L. Hull | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| N. Smith | 27 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Dantas | 10 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 36 | 5-17 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| T. Charles | 34 | 13-21 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 15 | - |
| J. Canada | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Gray | 22 | 3-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| N. Coffey | 17 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| H. Jones | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| L. Cubaj | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter