Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 37 | 10-23 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Caitlin Clark * | 36 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Katie Lou Samuelson * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 29 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 9 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 36 | 5-17 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 34 | 13-21 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 21 | 3-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 16 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Haley Jones | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter