Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +5.5 | ✗ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -17 (61-78). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 9-9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kayla Thornton * | 26 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ivana Dojkić | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marquesha Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus * | 21 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 18 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter