Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -7.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -3 (73-76). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 44 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 41 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 40 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Haley Jones | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel Atkins * | 40 | 6-13 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Brittney Sykes * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 32 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Emily Engstler * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Julie Vanloo * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 26 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Karlie Samuelson | 20 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Sika Koné | 17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter