Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -12 (64-76). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 37 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Alanna Smith * | 18 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 12 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 35 | 5-19 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 32 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Haley Jones | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter