Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | -0.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty +9 (91-82). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 40 | 8-15 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 40 | 10-16 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Haley Jones | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 39 | 12-23 | 5-11 | 7-7 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 24 | - |
| Breanna Stewart * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 34 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich * | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter