Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -11 (67-78). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 25 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 19 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Haley Jones | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ezinne Kalu | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonquel Jones * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton * | 25 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 22 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Breanna Stewart * | 16 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Marquesha Davis | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter