Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -7.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -6 (67-73). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 35 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 29 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 7-7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 23 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel Atkins * | 35 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Karlie Samuelson * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Julie Vanloo * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Shakira Austin * | 23 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 15 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter