Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | -0.1 | ✗ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty +6 (81-75). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordin Canada * | 37 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 36 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Nia Coffey * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart * | 37 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 33 | 3-16 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton * | 32 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 22 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter