Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.9% | 24.1% | -12.6 | ✗ (25.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +13 (80-67). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Caldwell * | 30 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Nia Coffey * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 23 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 21 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Destanni Henderson | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 31 | 7-11 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Tyasha Harris * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 22 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Astou Ndour-Fall | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter