Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +5.0 | ✗ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -14 (70-84). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 37 | 13-23 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 37 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 34 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kate Martin | 10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 38 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Maya Caldwell * | 28 | 6-17 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -3 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 25 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Destanni Henderson | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 20 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
* = starter