Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey * | 36 | 4-17 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 36 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 34 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Haley Jones | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter