Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mabrey | 37 | 4-17 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| A. Thomas | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | - |
| T. Harris | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| B. Jones | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| D. Bonner | 26 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D. Carrington | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| V. Burton | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 36 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| A. Gray | 36 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Howard | 35 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Canada | 34 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 21 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 31 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| H. Jones | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| N. Coffey | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Cubaj | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter