Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +4 (104-100). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 42 | 6-19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 42 | 13-28 | 4-13 | 6-9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 14 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 39 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 31 | 7-22 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Haley Jones | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark * | 45 | 7-17 | 4-13 | 8-8 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 42 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 41 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 32 | - |
| Lexie Hull * | 39 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Katie Lou Samuelson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter