Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | -0.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty +14 (83-69). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 28 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 24 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ezinne Kalu | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Haley Jones | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart * | 31 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 26 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich * | 25 | 7-8 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ivana Dojkić | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter