Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.3% | 37.7% | -5.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -18 (62-80). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 32 | 7-16 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 25 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Haley Jones | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickea Jackson * | 35 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dearica Hamby * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Azurá Stevens * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Li Yueru | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 15 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Zia Cooke | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter