Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +13.0 | β (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | β |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -3 (69-72). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanie Dolson * | 29 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Ariel Atkins * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Brittney Sykes * | 25 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Julie Vanloo * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 23 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Karlie Samuelson | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Sika KonΓ© | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 38 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 36 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 31 | 1-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 31 | 4-16 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Haley Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter