Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +14.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +11 (107-96). Ratings: 2025 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 45 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Satou Sabally * | 40 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 40 | 11-23 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Teaira McCowan * | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Sevgi Uzun | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kalani Brown | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jaelyn Brown | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Maddy Siegrist | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 45 | 12-26 | 6-17 | 3-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 16 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 41 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 40 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 39 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 36 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Haley Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter