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San Diego State

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Also known as: San Diego State Aztecs, San Diego State
Program History
Coach: Steve Fisher

2010 Team Stats (7 games)

70.9
PPG
70.6
Opp
+0.3
Margin
44.4%
FG%
37.2%
3P%
67.4%
FT%
36.6
RPG
15.1
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.4
Adj PPG
59.2
Adj Opp PPG
#48
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1310 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1251 (#33) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More → 1142 (#24) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +12.0 (#48) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +11.3 (#46) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.776 (#46) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.8 More → 0.887 (#51) AdjNet +17.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.0 More → 0.889 (#51) AdjNet +18.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 59.2 More → 0.735 (#48) AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 59.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 59.8 More → 0.677 (#37) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 59.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.803 (#40) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.794 (#36) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 32 More → 1261 (#32) RD 113 | GP 32

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-14 vs UC San Diego Tritons W 77 - 52
2009-11-16 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 58 - 80
2009-11-19 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 86 - 53
2009-11-23 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 62 - 58
2009-11-25 @ Pacific Tigers L 63 - 71
2009-11-28 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 89 - 48
2009-12-02 @ San Diego Toreros W 69 - 62
2009-12-05 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 69 - 61
2009-12-09 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 82 - 68
2009-12-12 vs Arizona Wildcats W 63 - 46
2009-12-19 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 52 - 55
2009-12-22 @ Drake Bulldogs W 76 - 73
2009-12-29 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 58 - 53
2009-12-31 vs Pomona Pitzer Sagehens W 89 - 54
2010-01-05 vs New Mexico Lobos W 74 - 64
2010-01-09 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 83 - 85
2010-01-13 @ UNLV Rebels L 66 - 76
2010-01-16 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 67 - 62
2010-01-19 @ Utah Utes W 70 - 68
2010-01-23 vs BYU Cougars L 69 - 71
2010-01-30 @ Colorado State Rams W 64 - 52
2010-02-02 vs Air Force Falcons W 70 - 48
2010-02-06 @ New Mexico Lobos L 86 - 88
2010-02-10 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 88 - 57
2010-02-13 vs UNLV Rebels W 68 - 58
2010-02-16 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 68 - 51
2010-02-20 vs Utah Utes W 68 - 61
2010-02-24 @ BYU Cougars L 68 - 82
2010-03-03 vs Colorado State Rams W 68 - 55
2010-03-06 @ Air Force Falcons W 61 - 42
2010-03-11 vs Colorado State Rams W 72 - 71
2010-03-12 @ New Mexico Lobos W 72 - 69
2010-03-13 @ UNLV Rebels W 55 - 45
2010-03-18 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 59 - 62

2010 Roster

No roster data available for this season.