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2010-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Wyoming Cowboys San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 6.0% 94.0% -
Bradley-Terry 28.9% 71.1% -
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.3 (22.7 off)
Pythagorean 18.0% 82.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +31 (88-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thiam 32 7-8 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 2 3 15 11 -
D. Jackson 27 5-12 0-2 4-6 3 1 3 2 6 14 5 -
D. Harrison 27 0-7 0-3 3-4 2 2 0 0 1 3 -1 -
J. Luster 26 1-2 1-2 0-2 1 5 2 0 6 3 3 -
A. Bouedo 24 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 7 0 -
A. Waddell 20 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
A. M'Baye 20 1-2 0-0 6-12 4 0 0 3 0 8 13 -
R. Dermody 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
B. Sylla 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Tapley 30 6-10 0-3 2-3 3 6 3 1 1 14 16 -
K. Leonard 27 10-14 1-3 5-7 8 2 3 1 2 26 24 -
D.J. Gay 27 2-6 2-5 3-6 2 4 3 0 1 9 11 -
M. Thomas 24 2-5 0-0 1-3 7 3 0 2 2 5 10 -
K. Davis 24 4-7 0-1 4-4 4 3 1 0 2 12 11 -
B. White 24 4-5 0-1 2-2 3 3 0 2 1 10 12 -
B. Carlwell 19 0-7 0-0 0-2 2 2 0 3 1 0 -1 -
T. Shelley 19 5-7 1-3 1-2 8 0 1 0 3 12 11 -
A. Williams 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter