Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -12 (52-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 36 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 8-13 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Thomas | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| K. Leonard | 33 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| B. White | 29 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -3 | - |
| C. Tapley | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Davis | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Shelley | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 40 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| A. Nigon | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Franklin | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 4 | - |
| G. Smith | 23 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Ogide | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| P. Hornung | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| H. Perry | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Busch | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter