Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | San Diego Toreros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego Toreros -7 (62-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. White | 43 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 41 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | - |
| M. Thomas | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. Leonard | 37 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Shelley | 30 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| K. Davis | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Tapley | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Johnson | 42 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| D. Jackson | 41 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Lewis | 35 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Dorr | 34 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Houston | 32 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Mafra | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| P. McCollum | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Ginty | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Manresa | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter