🐻⬇️🏀

San Diego State Aztecs 55
@
UNLV Rebels 45
2010-03-13

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 87.1% 12.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% - ✗
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 ✗ (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% - ✓
Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% - ✓

Actual: UNLV Rebels -10 (45-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Gay 39 3-13 3-7 2-4 2 0 0 0 3 11 -3 -
K. Leonard 36 4-11 0-1 8-9 21 2 2 0 5 16 25 -
M. Thomas 34 2-7 0-0 3-3 7 4 2 1 1 7 13 -
B. White 33 3-5 0-1 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 7 6 -
K. Davis 32 4-7 1-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 9 3 -
B. Carlwell 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
C. Tapley 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
T. Shelley 8 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Stanback 36 4-10 2-6 0-0 7 1 3 1 2 10 10 -
O. Bellfield 35 5-15 1-5 0-0 4 5 1 0 6 11 0 -
T. Willis 35 4-12 1-5 2-2 1 3 2 0 2 11 3 -
A. Marshall 25 0-2 0-0 2-4 7 2 1 1 2 2 9 -
B. Massamba 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
J. Hawkins 13 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
D. Santee 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
K. Wallace 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
M. Shaw 8 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
S. Jones Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter