Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.4% | 42.6% | -1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -2 (69-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fredette | 38 | 11-19 | 5-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 21 | - |
| T. Haws | 32 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| C. Miles | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Emery | 27 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| N. Hartsock | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Abouo | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Davies | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Loyd Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Morgan Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Leonard | 33 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 32 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| C. Tapley | 29 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Thomas | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. White | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Davis | 23 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Shelley | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter