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Colorado State Rams 71
@
San Diego State Aztecs 72
2010-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 11.1% 88.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% - ✓
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 ✓ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 30.4% 69.6% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 5.9% 94.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 5.7% 94.3% - ✓

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +1 (72-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green 39 4-9 2-3 2-3 1 4 1 1 2 12 8 -
A. Nigon 34 7-12 4-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 18 5 -
T. Franklin 30 3-5 0-0 3-5 7 3 2 0 1 9 15 -
T. Busch 29 2-6 0-1 1-2 6 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
M. Bocar Ba 24 4-9 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 9 4 -
G. Smith 16 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 4 7 2 -
P. Hornung 15 1-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
A. Ogide 9 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 6 5 -
A. McFarland 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Annese 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Gay 40 1-5 0-3 5-6 2 3 0 0 2 7 5 -
M. Thomas 35 6-8 0-0 3-6 7 4 0 3 3 15 18 -
B. White 31 6-11 0-0 3-6 4 3 3 0 2 15 12 -
K. Leonard 26 6-15 0-3 0-0 6 2 3 1 2 12 7 -
K. Davis 22 0-2 0-2 0-2 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 -
C. Tapley 21 6-7 1-2 2-3 3 2 0 0 0 15 13 -
B. Carlwell 13 1-1 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 2 5 7 -
T. Shelley 12 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 1 1 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter