Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | +15.8 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +13.2 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +1 (72-71). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 39 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Adam Nigon * | 34 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Travis Franklin * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Travis Busch * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Andy Ogide * | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mame Bocar Ba | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Greg Smith | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Pierce Hornung | 15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Andre McFarland | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mike Annese | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 40 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Malcolm Thomas * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Billy White * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 26 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kelvin Davis * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chase Tapley | 21 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Brian Carlwell | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tyrone Shelley | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter