Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 32 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1 | - |
| K. Leonard | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| M. Thomas | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Tapley | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Davis | 20 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -7 | - |
| T. Shelley | 19 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Shelton | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. White | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Willis | 36 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 10-13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 10 | - |
| C. Stanback | 32 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| A. Marshall | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O. Bellfield | 22 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Wallace | 21 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| D. Jasper | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| M. Shaw | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Massamba | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Santee | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter