Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✗ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -17 (51-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. White | 35 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| K. Leonard | 32 | 7-10 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Tapley | 28 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Thomas | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T. Shelley | 19 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Davis | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Moss | 35 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Z. Buljan | 33 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| E. Ruzgas | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Butler | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| G. Green | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Mitchem | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| N. Cerina | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| X. Roberson | 18 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| G. Hill | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter