Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Utes | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Henderson | 34 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| C. Brown | 30 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| L. Drca | 30 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Foster | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| J. Watkins | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| K. Tillie | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Tavita | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Hines | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Washburn | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Glover | 6 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thomas | 36 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 7-14 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 20 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 35 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| K. Leonard | 33 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| C. Tapley | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. White | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Shelley | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| K. Davis | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter