Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | -1.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -4 (58-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 37 | 2-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. White | 35 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| T. Shelley | 31 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| K. Leonard | 24 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Davis | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Thomas | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Tapley | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. George | 40 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Ladd | 39 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Shepp | 31 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Seay | 31 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| G. Smith | 26 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| N. Golubovic | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Sperling | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter