Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +3 (55-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Leonard | 36 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 35 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. White | 32 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| M. Thomas | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| C. Tapley | 23 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| T. Shelley | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Davis | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Shelton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McMillan | 38 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Glasser | 36 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Abbott | 33 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Kuksiks | 31 | 3-14 | 2-10 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| E. Boateng | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| T. Lockett | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Rohde | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| V. Rudd | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter