Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 40 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| B. White | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C. Tapley | 31 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| K. Leonard | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| K. Davis | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Shelley | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Emery | 38 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 25 | - |
| J. Fredette | 36 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 6-11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 27 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| T. Haws | 26 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| N. Hartsock | 26 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Abouo | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Miles | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Davies | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Loyd Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Zylstra | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Magnusson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Anderson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter