Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -3 (73-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 39 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| B. White | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| K. Leonard | 32 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| M. Thomas | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Shelley | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Davis | 23 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| C. Tapley | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Shelton | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Young | 39 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 5-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| R. Wedel | 35 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Stanley | 32 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| S. VanDeest | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Templeton | 28 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Simons | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Hawley | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Eaddy | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| F. Wiseler | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Uhlenhopp | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter