Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.1% | 1.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.1% | 13.9% | -10.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -19 (42-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 40 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| K. Leonard | 39 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 19 | - |
| M. Thomas | 36 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| B. White | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| K. Davis | 25 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Williams | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Kneller | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Parker | 31 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Lyons | 27 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| A. Merriex | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Fow | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. McLain | 23 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| E. Washington | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Fletcher | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Brooks | 9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. El-Amin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Broekhuis | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter