🐻⬇️🏀

San Diego State Aztecs 59
@
Tennessee Volunteers 62
2010-03-18

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.3% 76.7% - ✓
Margin 10.1% 89.9% +12.0 ✓ (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% - ✗
Efficiency 12.9% 87.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 56.7% 43.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 57.0% 43.0% - ✗

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +3 (62-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Gay 40 4-8 2-6 6-6 3 1 0 0 1 16 11 -
M. Thomas 38 2-6 0-0 4-6 4 4 1 2 3 8 10 -
K. Leonard 33 5-15 0-4 2-2 10 2 2 3 2 12 12 -
B. White 29 3-7 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 7 0 -
K. Davis 28 4-6 1-3 2-3 3 0 0 0 1 11 7 -
C. Tapley 16 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 1 -
B. Carlwell 13 1-3 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
T. Shelley 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Chism 35 4-12 1-3 2-2 5 0 1 1 2 11 4 -
J.P. Prince 32 5-9 0-1 5-8 6 2 1 1 2 15 14 -
S. Hopson 26 3-9 2-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 8 3 -
B. Maze 23 3-7 1-2 4-4 0 2 0 0 0 11 6 -
B. Williams 22 0-3 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 0 1 2 7 -
M. Goins 19 5-7 4-5 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 15 9 -
C. Tatum 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -
S. Pearl 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Hall 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. McBee 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter