Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Utah Utes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Utes -2 (68-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 37 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Thomas | 33 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| K. Leonard | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| C. Tapley | 28 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Shelley | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Davis | 20 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. White | 16 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Drca | 33 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| C. Brown | 32 | 5-15 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| M. Henderson | 31 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| J. Watkins | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Foster | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| J. Tavita | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Tillie | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Washburn | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Glover | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hines | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter