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2009-11-14

Model Predictions

Model UC San Diego Tritons San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 10.9% 89.1% -
Bradley-Terry 21.9% 78.1% -
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 (13.6 off)

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +25 (77-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC San Diego Tritons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Ryan 27 4-6 0-1 0-0 8 4 0 0 2 8 12 -
T. Acevedo 24 5-17 4-15 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 14 1 -
J. Wey 23 2-6 1-4 0-1 2 2 1 0 3 5 1 -
J. Lawley 22 4-11 1-7 0-2 1 0 1 0 3 9 -3 -
C. Hatch 17 0-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
J. Brue 17 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
J. Tarabilda 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
A. Browning 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
S. Krizman 15 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
D. Bohanan 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -
R. Wheeler 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
B. Alvari 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. McGrath 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Porter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Gay 30 2-7 0-3 1-2 4 4 2 0 5 5 3 -
M. Thomas 29 8-11 0-0 4-8 9 1 1 2 5 20 17 -
K. Leonard 28 4-7 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 0 6 8 7 -
B. Carlwell 27 4-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 2 1 0 9 10 -
K. Davis 25 3-5 2-4 2-3 3 3 1 0 2 10 10 -
C. Tapley 25 5-8 1-2 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 11 10 -
A. Williams 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 6 9 -
B. Horton 12 2-4 0-0 0-3 1 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
J. Deutchman 3 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter