Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +5 (58-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gordon | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Austin | 35 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| L. Gurganious | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Chavarria | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Hampton | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. McMullan | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. LoBue | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Dowdy | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Veteto | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thomas | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 30 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. White | 29 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| K. Leonard | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Shelley | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Tapley | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Shelton | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Davis | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter