Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +13 (68-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 33 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Ogide | 29 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| A. Nigon | 27 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Franklin | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Busch | 22 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| G. Smith | 17 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| P. Hornung | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. McFarland | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Annese | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| H. Perry | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 39 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Leonard | 35 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| M. Thomas | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 16 | - |
| B. White | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Davis | 25 | 3-12 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| C. Tapley | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Kneller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter