Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.6 | ✓ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +33 (86-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Payne | 32 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Trasolini | 31 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| R. Cowels III | 31 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -2 | - |
| R. Smith | 29 | 0-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7 | - |
| B. Dowdell | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| N. Harrison | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Santos | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Alexander | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Bach | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Leonard | 28 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 28 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| B. White | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| C. Tapley | 22 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Shelley | 21 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Thomas | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Davis | 16 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Williams | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| B. Horton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Deutchman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter