Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +17 (63-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hill | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Horne | 32 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| N. Wise | 32 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| D. Williams | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| K. Fogg | 24 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| L. Jones | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Jacobson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Natyazhko | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| G. Judkins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Wise | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Shumpert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Leonard | 35 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 33 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| M. Thomas | 32 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. White | 29 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Shelley | 23 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Tapley | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Davis | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Shelton | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter